👁 善用AI洞察,成就专业投资,汇聚牛股名单。网络星期一限量抢!手慢无

Russell 2000 Holds Key Support; Nasdaq, S&P 500 Turn Net Bullish: What Lies Ahead?

发布时间 2023-9-4 20:10
US500
-
US2000
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-

The Labor Day weekend will keep things on hold for another day, but the coming week is important for lead indexes. We have the Russell 2000 (IWM) at the cusp of a return to a net bullish state in its technical picture, matching the state for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 on the daily timeframe.

The only holdout is the stochatic [39,1], which hasn't yet crossed the midline. Friday's closing candlestick for the Russell 2000 was a little iffy and, in combination with stochastic mid-line resistance, could spell a period of weakness for the week. However, from a price perspective, it's trading above $189 breakout support and key moving averages, so there is reason to be optimistic here. Another tick in the bullish column is the net accumulation in volume.

IWM Daily Chart

There are some minor concerns for the Nasdaq. It enjoys solid, bullish technical strength, with the index outperforming the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 (IWM). The only concern was Friday's bearish candlestick (that some may view as a bearish engulfing pattern on Thursday's bearish 'gravestone' doji), which may also lead to some downside in the early part of the week. Certainly, for Tuesday, I would be looking for a lower close, but not a close below key support of 13,850 (intraday violations accepted though).

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P 500 may have had the best of Friday's action, although it too didn't have a great candlestick finish; a 'black' candlestick (higher open, lower close > previous day close) is never one to get excited about as a bull. If there is a weak start to the week for the Russell 2000 ($IWM) and Nasdaq, I would find it hard for this index to buck the trend.

SPX Daily Chart

There was a risk in the early part of last week for a head-and-shoulder reversal across the lead indexes, which seems to have passed with the push beyond what would have been the left-hand-shoulder high (the price peak from early June). So, instead, what we are looking for is an ease back to the June swing high, preferably with a successful support test and bounce.

If this is not the case, we are looking at a test of the June/August swing lows to set up a possible longer trading range, perhaps lasting into Christmas. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are trending above their 200-day MAs without being too extended, so I don't have many concerns with these indexes. The Russell 2000 (IWM) is playing with a fire a little, but this is more of a "holding" pattern rather than anything outright bearish.

最新评论

正在加载下一篇文章……
风险批露: 交易股票、外汇、商品、期货、债券、基金等金融工具或加密货币属高风险行为,这些风险包括损失您的部分或全部投资金额,所以交易并非适合所有投资者。加密货币价格极易波动,可能受金融、监管或政治事件等外部因素的影响。保证金交易会放大金融风险。
在决定交易任何金融工具或加密货币前,您应当充分了解与金融市场交易相关的风险和成本,并谨慎考虑您的投资目标、经验水平以及风险偏好,必要时应当寻求专业意见。
Fusion Media提醒您,本网站所含数据未必实时、准确。本网站的数据和价格未必由市场或交易所提供,而可能由做市商提供,所以价格可能并不准确且可能与实际市场价格行情存在差异。即该价格仅为指示性价格,反映行情走势,不宜为交易目的使用。对于您因交易行为或依赖本网站所含信息所导致的任何损失,Fusion Media及本网站所含数据的提供商不承担责任。
未经Fusion Media及/或数据提供商书面许可,禁止使用、存储、复制、展现、修改、传播或分发本网站所含数据。提供本网站所含数据的供应商及交易所保留其所有知识产权。
本网站的广告客户可能会根据您与广告或广告主的互动情况,向Fusion Media支付费用。
本协议的英文版本系主要版本。如英文版本与中文版本存在差异,以英文版本为准。
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited | 粤ICP备17131071号 | 保留所有权利。