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自选组合投资灵感 ProPicks AI 选股器数据挖掘器图表已保存项目

Shibusawa Warehouse Co Ltd

TSE:9304

日本 / 工业 / 航空货运与物流

DDM多阶段法

股票价格

3,260.00 JPY

公允价值

2,395.61 JPY

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.8% - 1.3%	1.0%
Discount Rate	11.1% - 10.1%	10.6%
Fair Value	2,231¥ - 2,588¥	2,396¥
Upside	-32.7% - -21.9%	-27.7%

130

Current Dividend per Share

3.9%

Current Dividend Yield

21.7%

3yr Avg Div Growth

24.9%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股票价格

3,260.00 JPY

公允价值

2,395.61 JPY

看涨

-27.7%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(JPY in millions)	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28		Mar-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	3,728	3,871	3,871	3,871	3,871		3,871	3,871
% Growth	-0.8%	3.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%		0.0%

Payout Ratio	36.7%	47.0%	58.0%	69.0%	80.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	1,367	1,819	2,245	2,671	3,097		3,484	3,581
% Growth		33.1%	23.4%	19.0%	15.9%		12.5%

支持的计算方式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(JPY in millions)	Mar-20	Mar-21	Mar-22	Mar-23	Mar-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	729	775	851	1,215	1,367		1,368	1,708
% Growth		6%	10%	43%	13%			25%

Net Income to Common	2,816	2,750	5,257	3,759	3,728		2,748	4,122
% Growth		-2%	91%	-28%	-1%			50%

Payout Ratio	26%	28%	16%	32%	37%		50%	41%
Retention Ratio	74%	72%	84%	68%	63%		50%	59%

Adjusted EBITDA	6,862	6,790	7,657	7,811	7,058		5,512	5,881
% Growth		-1%	13%	2%	-10%			7%

Total Debt	36,441	38,631	36,313	37,873	27,409		28,338	29,991
Shareholder's Equity	43,511	47,905	53,333	57,072	61,735		59,824	62,933

Debt / EBITDA	5.3	5.7	4.7	4.8	3.9			4.0
Debt / Equity	84%	81%	68%	66%	44%		47%	48%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	21.7%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	28.2%

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