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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 46.3x - 51.2x | 48.8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -786.4x - -869.2x | -827.8x |
Fair Value | 2.71¥ - 2.99¥ | 2.85¥ |
Upside | -47.7% - -42.5% | -45.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Tsinghua Tongfang Co., Ltd. | 600100 | SHSE:600100 |
Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. | 600130 | SHSE:600130 |
GRG Banking Equipment Co., Ltd. | 2152 | SZSE:002152 |
Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co., Ltd. | 688636 | SHSE:688636 |
Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co., Ltd. | 2912 | SZSE:002912 |
Founder Technology Group Co.,Ltd. | 600601 | SHSE:600601 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
600100 | 600130 | 2152 | 688636 | 2912 | 600601 | ||
SHSE:600100 | SHSE:600130 | SZSE:002152 | SHSE:688636 | SZSE:002912 | SHSE:600601 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 8.9% | -25.8% | -26.1% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 11.9% | -47.7% | NM- | 16.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -105.3% | -386.7% | 19.1% | -78.9% | 18.4% | 985.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -0.3% | -0.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | -1.4% | -0.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -0.1% | 1.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | -4.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -0.1% | -0.5% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -0.1% | -6.5% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.32x | 5.40x | 2.57x | 10.64x | 5.44x | 6.42x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 318.6x | -316.9x | 19.5x | 144.6x | 39.1x | 68.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -1177.6x | -82.9x | 22.1x | 303.4x | 58.4x | 91.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1177.6x | 22.1x | 303.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -435.2x | -43.0x | 120.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 46.3x | 48.8x | 51.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 234 | 234 | 234 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,824 | 11,394 | 11,964 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 491 | 491 | 491 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 11,316 | 11,885 | 12,455 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,170.3 | 4,170.3 | 4,170.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.71 | 2.85 | 2.99 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.71 | 2.85 | 2.99 | 5.19 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -47.7% | -45.1% | -42.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 600100 | 600130 | 2152 | 688636 | 2912 | 600601 | |
Enterprise Value | 26,370 | 1,699 | 25,094 | 4,617 | 3,558 | 21,153 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,977 | 764 | 11,128 | 14 | 1,061 | 1,214 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 15,264 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (16,280) | (2) | (3,268) | (73) | (19) | (723) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (4,729) | (48) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 26,601 | 2,475 | 32,954 | 4,559 | 4,600 | 21,644 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,350.3 | 750.0 | 2,483.4 | 112.6 | 170.8 | 4,170.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.94 | 3.30 | 13.27 | 40.50 | 26.94 | 5.19 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.94 | 3.30 | 13.27 | 40.50 | 26.94 | 5.19 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |