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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Fair Value | 50.67$ - 62.76$ | 56.71$ |
| Upside | 22.2% - 51.4% | 36.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Guoco Group Limited | 53 | SEHK:53 |
| Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited | C07 | SGX:C07 |
| 3M Company | MMM | NYSE:MMM |
| Icahn Enterprises L.P. | IEP | NasdaqGS:IEP |
| Honeywell International Inc. | HON | NasdaqGS:HON |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited | JARL.F | OTCPK:JARL.F |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 53 | C07 | MMM | IEP | HON | JARL.F | |||
| SEHK:53 | SGX:C07 | NYSE:MMM | NasdaqGS:IEP | NasdaqGS:HON | OTCPK:JARL.F | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.2% | 3.7% | -5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | -2.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 29.8% | 8.0% | -11.4% | -3.7% | 3.8% | -0.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.6% | 0.3% | -0.1% | -8.1% | 5.0% | -0.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.6% | 11.8% | 19.9% | -5.3% | 20.8% | 10.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 0.8% | 20.6% | 11.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.1% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 0.2% | 21.3% | 9.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 0.2% | 21.3% | 9.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.56x | 0.65x | 3.34x | 0.86x | 4.11x | 0.87x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 5.6x | 19.1x | 431.0x | 19.3x | 9.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.98x | 0.35x | 3.20x | 0.48x | 3.54x | 0.35x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 1.56x | 4.11x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.83x | 0.96x | 1.36x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.95x | 1.00x | 1.05x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 35,779 | 35,779 | 35,779 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 33,971 | 35,758 | 37,546 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (18,720) | (18,720) | (18,720) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 15,251 | 17,038 | 18,826 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 291.6 | 291.6 | 291.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 52.30 | 58.43 | 64.56 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 52.30 | 58.43 | 64.56 | 41.45 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 26.2% | 41.0% | 55.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 53 | C07 | MMM | IEP | HON | JARL.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,563 | 14,348 | 82,112 | 8,620 | 156,882 | 30,808 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,119 | 2,842 | 7,728 | 2,603 | 10,953 | 4,897 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,901 | 8,015 | 2,505 | 2,310 | 1,394 | 21,225 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,410) | (7,295) | (13,659) | (7,339) | (32,225) | (19,402) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,307) | (10,127) | (52) | (1,380) | (542) | (25,440) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,866 | 7,783 | 78,634 | 4,814 | 136,462 | 12,088 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 329.1 | 395.2 | 542.9 | 522.7 | 648.8 | 291.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.71 | 19.69 | 144.84 | 9.21 | 210.34 | 41.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.13 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 67.75 | 26.42 | 144.84 | 9.21 | 210.34 | 41.45 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | SGD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.13 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |