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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.7x | 1.7x |
| Fair Value | 1.84kr - 2.51kr | 2.17kr |
| Upside | -27.2% - -1.0% | -14.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro de Pasco Resources Inc. | CDPR | TSXV:CDPR |
| Allied Gold Corporation | AAUC | TSX:AAUC |
| Orezone Gold Corporation | ORE | TSX:ORE |
| Orla Mining Ltd. | OLA | TSX:OLA |
| Aris Mining Corporation | ARIS | TSX:ARIS |
| Lucara Diamond Corp. | LUC | OM:LUC |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CDPR | AAUC | ORE | OLA | ARIS | LUC | |||
| TSXV:CDPR | TSX:AAUC | TSX:ORE | TSX:OLA | TSX:ARIS | OM:LUC | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 10.3% | 1.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 28.1% | 14.3% | NM- | 336.9% | 10.1% | -4.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | NM | 11.4% | 4.4% | 47.2% | 14.1% | 18.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -75.8% | 9.2% | 27.5% | -9.7% | 25.1% | 14.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -128.8% | 2.4% | 33.3% | 7.1% | 26.1% | 23.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -138.0% | 18.2% | 33.4% | 46.8% | 23.1% | 32.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -142.5% | 18.2% | 33.4% | 46.8% | 23.1% | 32.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.66x | 1.49x | 1.38x | 8.11x | 2.59x | 1.55x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -4.7x | 8.2x | 4.1x | 17.4x | 11.2x | 4.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.17x | 1.53x | 1.27x | 8.58x | 1.53x | 0.56x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.38x | 2.59x | 8.11x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.86x | 1.26x | 1.55x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.36x | 1.43x | 1.50x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 204 | 204 | 204 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 276 | 291 | 306 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (202) | (202) | (202) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 75 | 89 | 104 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 451.8 | 451.8 | 451.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.23 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/SEK | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.65 | 1.97 | 2.29 | 2.53 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -34.8% | -22.1% | -9.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CDPR | AAUC | ORE | OLA | ARIS | LUC | |
| Enterprise Value | 100 | 1,087 | 392 | 2,792 | 1,321 | 316 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11 | 225 | 74 | 161 | 253 | 23 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3) | (128) | (100) | (2) | (521) | (225) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (71) | (6) | 0 | (285) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 107 | 1,114 | 360 | 2,950 | 781 | 114 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 496.3 | 328.9 | 515.6 | 322.4 | 171.9 | 451.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.22 | 3.39 | 0.70 | 9.15 | 4.55 | 0.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.10 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.31 | 4.85 | 1.00 | 13.10 | 6.51 | 2.53 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | SEK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.10 | |