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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 54.0x - 59.7x | 56.9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 31.3x - 34.6x | 33.0x |
Fair Value | 820.38₹ - 896.77₹ | 858.58₹ |
Upside | -36.0% - -30.0% | -33.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited | MAZDOCK | NSEI:MAZDOCK |
CFF Fluid Control Limited | 543920 | BSE:543920 |
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited | HAL | NSEI:HAL |
Bharat Electronics Limited | BEL | NSEI:BEL |
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited | GRSE | NSEI:GRSE |
Bharat Dynamics Limited | BDL | NSEI:BDL |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
MAZDOCK | 543920 | HAL | BEL | GRSE | BDL | ||
NSEI:MAZDOCK | BSE:543920 | NSEI:HAL | NSEI:BEL | NSEI:GRSE | NSEI:BDL | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 40.4% | NM- | 18.1% | 11.5% | 42.6% | -2.8% | |
3Y CAGR | 83.5% | 123.0% | 25.7% | 15.9% | 51.6% | 16.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 128.8% | 37.9% | 46.9% | 38.6% | 77.1% | 18.5% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.9% | 26.0% | 20.6% | 23.2% | 6.1% | 20.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.2% | 26.1% | 19.6% | 23.1% | 5.9% | 16.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.8% | 28.9% | 27.3% | 25.2% | 6.6% | 22.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 21.6% | 28.2% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 6.6% | 19.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 8.19x | 6.70x | 7.82x | 9.14x | 3.55x | 17.96x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 38.0x | 23.7x | 28.6x | 33.2x | 53.6x | 90.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 39.0x | 27.9x | 32.2x | 35.6x | 61.7x | 103.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.7x | 33.2x | 53.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.1x | 14.0x | 69.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 54.0x | 56.9x | 59.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 4,797 | 4,797 | 4,797 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 259,234 | 272,878 | 286,522 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 34,705 | 34,705 | 34,705 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 293,938 | 307,582 | 321,226 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 366.6 | 366.6 | 366.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 801.88 | 839.10 | 876.32 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 801.88 | 839.10 | 876.32 | 1,281.40 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -37.4% | -34.5% | -31.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MAZDOCK | 543920 | HAL | BEL | GRSE | BDL | |
Enterprise Value | 930,877 | 8,536 | 2,504,703 | 2,120,028 | 157,768 | 435,008 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 135,941 | 42 | 289,083 | 83,162 | 35,428 | 34,734 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (362) | (200) | (12) | (608) | (96) | (29) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,066,456 | 8,378 | 2,793,774 | 2,202,583 | 193,100 | 469,713 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 403.4 | 19.5 | 668.8 | 7,309.8 | 114.6 | 366.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,643.80 | 430.20 | 4,177.45 | 301.32 | 1,685.70 | 1,281.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,643.80 | 430.20 | 4,177.45 | 301.32 | 1,685.70 | 1,281.40 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |