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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -0.8x - -0.9x | -0.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -3.7x - -4.1x | -3.9x |
| Fair Value | 1.05$ - 1.16$ | 1.11$ |
| Upside | 43.8% - 58.8% | 51.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Datadog, Inc. | DDOG | NasdaqGS:DDOG |
| ON24, Inc. | ONTF | NYSE:ONTF |
| Rekor Systems, Inc. | REKR | NasdaqCM:REKR |
| Rubicon Technologies, Inc. | RBTC | OTCPK:RBTC |
| SPS Commerce, Inc. | SPSC | NasdaqGS:SPSC |
| Smith Micro Software, Inc. | SMSI | NasdaqCM:SMSI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DDOG | ONTF | REKR | RBTC | SPSC | SMSI | ||
| NasdaqGS:DDOG | NYSE:ONTF | NasdaqCM:REKR | OTCPK:RBTC | NasdaqGS:SPSC | NasdaqCM:SMSI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 18.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 17.3% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 262.2% | 11.2% | -2.4% | 36.7% | 15.1% | -40.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.8% | -18.5% | -193.6% | -16.8% | 14.8% | -38.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -1.6% | -33.1% | -260.2% | -37.5% | 14.4% | -44.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.0% | -32.5% | -119.5% | -7.1% | 13.9% | -123.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.0% | -32.5% | -102.3% | -5.6% | 13.9% | -123.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 12.04x | 0.32x | 2.66x | 0.25x | 7.61x | 0.62x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 311.9x | -1.1x | -3.2x | -5.0x | 37.0x | -0.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 595.1x | -1.0x | -2.6x | -4.5x | 54.6x | -0.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4.5x | -1.0x | 595.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -17.2x | -3.0x | 28.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -0.8x | -0.8x | -0.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (25) | (25) | (25) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20 | 21 | 22 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 20 | 21 | 22 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17.8 | 17.8 | 17.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.12 | 1.17 | 1.23 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.12 | 1.17 | 1.23 | 0.73 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 52.6% | 60.5% | 68.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DDOG | ONTF | REKR | RBTC | SPSC | SMSI | |
| Enterprise Value | 32,307 | 48 | 116 | 172 | 4,855 | 13 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,189 | 183 | 11 | 1 | 241 | 3 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,842) | (3) | (32) | (148) | (12) | (3) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (16) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 34,653 | 227 | 95 | 4 | 5,083 | 13 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 342.8 | 42.3 | 105.2 | 68.9 | 38.1 | 17.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 101.10 | 5.37 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 133.50 | 0.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 101.10 | 5.37 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 133.50 | 0.73 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |