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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.6x - 6.2x | 5.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5.1x - 5.6x | 5.4x |
| Fair Value | 156.16R - 198.11R | 177.14R |
| Upside | 12.3% - 42.5% | 27.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Reunert Limited | RLO | JSE:RLO |
| The Bidvest Group Limited | BVT | JSE:BVT |
| KAP Limited | KAP | JSE:KAP |
| Decisive Dividend Corporation | DE | TSXV:DE |
| Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C. | IQCD | DSM:IQCD |
| Hosken Consolidated Investments Limited | HCI | JSE:HCI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| RLO | BVT | KAP | DE | IQCD | HCI | ||
| JSE:RLO | JSE:BVT | JSE:KAP | TSXV:DE | DSM:IQCD | JSE:HCI | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.7% | 13.1% | -1.4% | 24.1% | 165.6% | -1.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 14.4% | 13.9% | -0.4% | 41.2% | -19.0% | 24.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | -29.7% | 11.3% | -5.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 30.8% | 25.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 27.0% | 24.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 27.9% | 25.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 27.9% | 24.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 0.94x | 0.54x | 1.51x | 4.74x | 1.31x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.5x | 8.3x | 5.1x | 12.4x | 17.0x | 5.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.3x | 10.3x | 8.6x | 22.8x | 30.1x | 6.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.1x | 8.3x | 17.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 6.0x | 11.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 5.9x | 6.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 5,748 | 5,748 | 5,748 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 32,435 | 34,142 | 35,849 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (19,603) | (19,603) | (19,603) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,832 | 14,539 | 16,246 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.9 | 80.9 | 80.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 158.67 | 179.78 | 200.89 | ||||
| FX Rate: ZAR/ZAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 158.67 | 179.78 | 200.89 | 139.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.2% | 29.3% | 44.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | RLO | BVT | KAP | DE | IQCD | HCI | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,436 | 119,059 | 15,927 | 193 | 59,920 | 30,844 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,832 | 4,956 | 1,218 | 3 | 11,118 | 2,114 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 283 | 2,311 | 255 | 0 | 8,304 | 4,544 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,618) | (40,781) | (10,536) | (73) | (455) | (14,803) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (142) | (3,263) | (261) | 0 | (902) | (11,458) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,791 | 82,283 | 6,603 | 123 | 77,985 | 11,241 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 157.1 | 339.9 | 2,501.0 | 19.8 | 6,050.0 | 80.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 62.31 | 242.09 | 2.64 | 6.22 | 12.89 | 139.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 62.31 | 242.09 | 2.64 | 6.22 | 12.89 | 139.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | CAD | QAR | ZAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |