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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 28.8x - 31.9x | 30.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 25.5x - 28.2x | 26.8x |
| Fair Value | 1,021Rp - 1,129Rp | 1,075Rp |
| Upside | -48.9% - -43.6% | -46.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| PT PAM Mineral Tbk | - | IDX:NICL |
| PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk | - | IDX:ISSP |
| PT Waskita Beton Precast Tbk | - | IDX:WSBP |
| PT Berlina Tbk | - | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Trias Sentosa Tbk | - | IDX:TRST |
| PT Solusi Kemasan Digital Tbk | - | IDX:PACK |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NICL | ISSP | WSBP | BRNA | TRST | PACK | |||
| IDX:NICL | IDX:ISSP | IDX:WSBP | IDX:BRNA | IDX:TRST | IDX:PACK | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 4.6% | -28.6% | -5.4% | 2.6% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 82.4% | 4.4% | -12.4% | -3.8% | 0.1% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.9% | -5.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.2% | 6.7% | -68.4% | -13.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.0% | 7.7% | 32.8% | -12.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.4% | 8.7% | 0.4% | -8.3% | -8.1% | 4.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 8.7% | -7.0% | -4.3% | -5.2% | 4.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.4x | 4.0x | -36.7x | 9.9x | 10.6x | 495.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.6x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.7x | 0.4x | 56.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 23.0x | 3.5x | -6.0x | -15.5x | -7.3x | 1316.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.4x | 2.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.1x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 28.8x | 30.3x | 31.9x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 56,603 | 56,603 | 56,603 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,631,344 | 1,717,204 | 1,803,064 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,597.4 | 1,597.4 | 1,597.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,021.25 | 1,075.00 | 1,128.75 | |||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,021.25 | 1,075.00 | 1,128.75 | 2,000.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -48.9% | -46.3% | -43.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NICL | ISSP | WSBP | BRNA | TRST | PACK | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,169,422 | 1,851,119 | 745,357 | 685,377 | 1,418,040 | 3,194,798 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10,635.6 | 7,065.3 | 53,239.8 | 979.1 | 2,808.0 | 1,597.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 298.00 | 262.00 | 14.00 | 700.00 | 505.00 | 2,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 298.00 | 262.00 | 14.00 | 700.00 | 505.00 | 2,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |