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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.5x - 1.7x | 1.6x |
| Fair Value | 27.62€ - 33.28€ | 30.45€ |
| Upside | 3.1% - 24.2% | 13.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| AptarGroup, Inc. | ATR | NYSE:ATR |
| Avery Dennison Corporation | AVY | NYSE:AVY |
| International Paper Company | IP | NYSE:IP |
| Ball Corporation | BALL | NYSE:BALL |
| Packaging Corporation of America | PKG | NYSE:PKG |
| Sealed Air Corporation | SDA | DB:SDA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ATR | AVY | IP | BALL | PKG | SDA | |||
| NYSE:ATR | NYSE:AVY | NYSE:IP | NYSE:BALL | NYSE:PKG | DB:SDA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.5% | 1.4% | -1.3% | -5.1% | 2.7% | -0.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.7% | 4.7% | -1.6% | -2.2% | 7.4% | -1.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 16.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.9% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.93x | 1.93x | 1.77x | 1.66x | 2.32x | 1.55x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.5x | 14.8x | 34.0x | 16.6x | 16.8x | 10.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.72x | 1.59x | 1.51x | 1.24x | 2.09x | 0.78x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.66x | 1.93x | 2.93x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.55x | 1.85x | 2.52x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.60x | 1.68x | 1.77x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 5,393 | 5,393 | 5,393 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,618 | 9,071 | 9,525 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,123) | (4,123) | (4,123) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,495 | 4,948 | 5,402 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 145.8 | 145.8 | 145.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 30.84 | 33.95 | 37.06 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.55 | 31.43 | 34.31 | 26.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 6.5% | 17.3% | 28.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ATR | AVY | IP | BALL | PKG | SDA | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,499 | 16,837 | 32,674 | 19,494 | 19,351 | 8,343 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 226 | 367 | 1,170 | 889 | 787 | 372 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 152 | 53 | 160 | 233 | 65 | 14 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,093) | (3,378) | (6,009) | (6,017) | (2,772) | (4,508) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (14) | 0 | 0 | (68) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,770 | 13,880 | 27,995 | 14,531 | 17,432 | 4,220 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 66.5 | 79.0 | 526.1 | 282.4 | 89.2 | 145.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 146.93 | 175.77 | 53.21 | 51.46 | 195.50 | 28.95 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 146.93 | 175.77 | 53.21 | 51.46 | 195.50 | 26.80 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |