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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 5.7x - 6.4x | 6.0x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.1x |
| Fair Value | 53.47€ - 59.10€ | 56.28€ |
| Upside | -9.5% - 0.0% | -4.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Autohome Inc. | 251,800.0% | SEHK:2518 |
| Meitu, Inc. | 135,700.0% | SEHK:1357 |
| Baidu, Inc. | 988,800.0% | SEHK:9888 |
| Bilibili Inc. | 962,600.0% | SEHK:9626 |
| Hello Group Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:MOMO |
| Tencent Holdings Limited | - | DB:NNND |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2518 | 1357 | 9888 | 9626 | MOMO | NNND | |||
| SEHK:2518 | SEHK:1357 | SEHK:9888 | SEHK:9626 | NasdaqGS:MOMO | DB:NNND | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.5% | 27.9% | 4.4% | 31.7% | -9.1% | 11.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.9% | 26.1% | 2.3% | 11.4% | -10.2% | 5.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.0% | 23.9% | -1.1% | 19.1% | -12.0% | 8.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 30.3% | 2.1% | 11.5% | -25.8% | 6.8% | 30.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | -21.4% | 16.3% | 18.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 23.0% | 24.1% | 17.4% | -5.0% | 9.8% | 29.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.0% | 24.1% | 17.4% | -5.0% | 9.8% | 29.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.7x | 32.8x | 1.7x | 43.2x | 1.3x | 14.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.5x | 6.9x | 1.7x | 2.2x | 0.7x | 6.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 15.0x | 28.8x | 9.9x | -42.9x | 7.2x | 21.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 2.2x | 6.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 4.2x | 6.4x | 10.0x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 5.7x | 6.0x | 6.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 660,257 | 660,257 | 660,257 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,793,778 | 3,993,450 | 4,193,123 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,054.2 | 9,054.2 | 9,054.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 419.01 | 441.06 | 463.11 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 53.36 | 56.17 | 58.98 | 59.10 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.7% | -5.0% | -0.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2518 | 1357 | 9888 | 9626 | MOMO | NNND | |
| Value of Common Equity | 23,856 | 22,576 | 221,567 | 58,449 | 7,527 | 4,201,807 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 477.2 | 4,559.0 | 2,664.5 | 416.8 | 164.1 | 9,054.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 49.99 | 4.95 | 83.16 | 140.24 | 45.87 | 464.07 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 7.27 | 7.85 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 53.50 | 5.30 | 89.00 | 150.10 | 6.31 | 59.10 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 7.27 | 7.85 | |